IDF technology and strategy during Psalm 83
“In his article, based on unclassified sources, Faber calculated that in its next war, Israel could be threatened by some 800 ballistic missiles in Iran’s possession, some 400 Syrian Scud missiles that are left in President Bashar Assad’s possession (some of these missiles were used in the Syrian civil war), some 500-1,000 tactical missiles (Fateh and Fajr) that Hamas and Hezbollah possess, and more than 100,000 artillery rockets that Syria, Hamas and Hezbollah possess.”
“Dr. Faber’s conclusions are in two main categories: financial and operational. Financially, during wartime, Israel will need interceptor missiles that, according to Faber, “cost more than $10 billion (35 billion shekels). In such a confrontation, Israel will undoubtedly use all of its defensive arsenal, and will have to invest a similar amount in restocking (a process that can last several years). Does anyone believe a venture of this magnitude makes sense? It is likely that no one believes in such nonsense.”
This article is good because it highlights the reasons why Israel will acquire quite a bit land during the next major conflict. The missile defense systems were really meant to protect strategic and military installations not large areas inhabited by civilians. Once these systems are overwhelmed and the damage to populations centers severe enough there will be a real desire to obtain the land that is used to launch the missiles. This explains why the land mostly taken in Psalm 83 will be areas that now harbor missile and rocket launchers. Yes some of these are mobile but it is a question of range. The further out they have to fire from the less accurate they are. Israel will conquer enough land to remove the missile threat from Israeli heartland. Also, consider this, Iran, Syria, Hezbollah, and Hamas will want to use all their missiles before these other Israeli missile defense systems come online. Iron Dome has proved to be effective and these other systems could nullify the longer range threat. Will they completely stop all missiles, no, thus lighting amoured penetrations will be necessary to take and hold land.
“Once implemented, traditional waves of air attack should give way to an express train of precision strikes, allowing “first circle” enemies such as Lebanon-based Hezbollah and Gaza-based Hamas little time to recover from the initial shock and awe of previous campaigns.”
Interesting, the article refers to “first circle” enemies, since that is the Psalm 83 players list.
“As such, IDF strategy demands inflicting as much pain as possible through high-intensity combat and rapid battlefield gains to deter the next round of fighting once a cease-fire takes effect.”
“Air power assumes enormous added value in our defensive concept and in all Western cultures that are less tolerant of the heavy casualties that come from big maneuvering ground wars,” Norkin said. “It’s hard to stop the lethality of tanks once they start to move. In contrast, air power can be controlled in a very calibrated, surgical manner. It’s like a thermostat that you can direct as hard or as soft as needed or turned off entirely when it’s time to stop.”
It’s true, Israel has become very accomplished at using air power to deter and even “regulate” conflicts. But what this strategy does not calculate is the use of WMDs in a conflict. If Syria were to use chemical weapons Israel would have no choice but to occupy that state in order to eliminate the threat. Yes we are told Syria is destroying their chemical weapons now. That is precisely why a chemical attack will originate from Syria. After all that is happened, Syria will no longer be trusted to destroy these weapons. They are destroying some now but will likely retain some. The only sure way for Israel to destroy these weapons (or move them out of range) is to occupy the land.